Search results for "age-structured model"

showing 4 items of 4 documents

Identifiability problem for recovering the mortality rate in an age-structured population dynamics model

2014

In this article is studied the identifiability of the age-dependent mortality rate of the Von Foerster–Mc Kendrick model, from the observation of a given age group of the population. In the case where there is no renewal for the population, translated by an additional homogeneous boundary condition to the Von Foerster equation, we give a necessary and sufficient condition on the initial density that ensures the mortality rate identifiability. In the inhomogeneous case, modelled by a non-local boundary condition, we make explicit a sufficient condition for the identifiability property, and give a condition for which the identifiability problem is ill-posed. We illustrate this latter case wit…

age-structured modelAge structurePopulation35Q92 35R30 92D25 93B3001 natural sciencestransport PDE[ MATH.MATH-AP ] Mathematics [math]/Analysis of PDEs [math.AP]Statisticspopulation dynamicsApplied mathematicsQuantitative Biology::Populations and Evolution[MATH.MATH-AP]Mathematics [math]/Analysis of PDEs [math.AP]Boundary value problem0101 mathematicseducationMathematicseducation.field_of_studyParameter identifiabilityApplied MathematicsMortality rate010102 general mathematicsGeneral EngineeringInverse problemComputer Science Applications010101 applied mathematicsnon-local boundary conditionHomogeneousIdentifiability
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Analysis of ecological shifts in the two‐age structured population model with Allee effect and environmental noise

2020

We study noise-induced transformations in the two-age structured population model with the Allee effect and environmental fluctuations. In this bistable model, ecological shifts are associated mathematically with random transitions between basins of coexisting attractors. The following phenomena are revealed and studied: (i) noise-induced extinction, (ii) stochastic regeneration, and (iii) excitement of random mixed-mode oscillations. Constructive abilities of the analytical method of confidence domains are demonstrated in the parametric study of these phenomena.

age-structured modelSettore FIS/02 - Fisica Teorica Modelli E Metodi MatematiciAge structureGeneral MathematicsGeneral Engineeringphase transitionssymbols.namesakeNoiseStatisticspopulation dynamicssymbolsEnvironmental noiseAllee effectMathematicsMathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
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Data from: Fine-scale population dynamics in a marine fish species inferred from dynamic state-space models

2018

Identifying the spatial scale of population structuring is critical for the conservation of natural populations and for drawing accurate ecological inferences. However, population studies often use spatially aggregated data to draw inferences about population trends and drivers, potentially masking ecologically relevant population sub-structure and dynamics. The goals of this study were to investigate how population dynamics models with and without spatial structure affect inferences on population trends and the identification of intrinsic drivers of population dynamics (e.g. density dependence). Specifically, we developed dynamic, age-structured, state-space models to test different hypoth…

medicine and health careage-structured modelSpatial structuretime-seriesk-fold cross validationLife SciencesMedicinestate-space modelsBayesian
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A Multivariate Age-Structured Stochastic Model with Immunization Strategies to Describe Bronchiolitis Dynamics

2021

Bronchiolitis has a high morbidity in children under 2 years old. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most common pathogen causing the disease. At present, there is only a costly humanized monoclonal RSV-specific antibody to prevent RSV. However, different immunization strategies are being developed. Hence, evaluation and comparison of their impact is important for policymakers. The analysis of the disease with a Bayesian stochastic compartmental model provided an improved and more natural description of its dynamics. However, the consideration of different age groups is still needed, since disease transmission greatly varies with age. In this work, we propose a multivariate age-struct…

medicine.medical_specialtyMultivariate statisticsStochastic modellingstochastic Bayesian modelHealth Toxicology and Mutagenesisrespiratory syncytial virusBayesian probabilityDiseaseRespiratory Syncytial Virus InfectionsPoisson distributioninfectious diseasesArticle03 medical and health sciencessymbols.namesakemultivariate age-structured model0302 clinical medicine030225 pediatricsMedicineHumans030212 general & internal medicineIntensive care medicineChildAge structuredimmunization programsbusiness.industryPublic Health Environmental and Occupational HealthInfant NewbornRInfantBayes TheoremImmunization (finance)medicine.diseaseRespiratory Syncytial VirusesBronchiolitisChild PreschoolsymbolsMedicineImmunizationbronchiolitisbusinessInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
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